At a seminar supported by the Thomas Jefferson Information Center,
University of North Carolina’s Dr. Gavin Smith, executive director of
the Center of Natural Hazards and Disasters, confirms, “The notion of
trying to predict vulnerability is not a perfect science. We are going
to see intensification of storms due to climate change.” But although no
amount of careful planning can prevent damage brought about by more
destructive natural calamities, building disaster-resilient communities
should be the ideal.
“I always use ‘natural hazard’ instead of ‘disaster’ because
disasters are a human construct,” Dr. Smith explains, “But at this time,
climate change is a disaster. Many communities will not recover to
pre-disaster conditions and we need to find a way to adapt to natural
hazards.”
What is a disaster-resilient community? Simply put, it is a
community that is planned to best withstand the ill effects wrought by
natural catastrophes; one that is well-prepared so that it can quickly
revert to normalcy after the occurrence of a destructive event.
“The expectation that money can solve all disaster-related problems
is flawed,” says Dr. Smith. “We need to expand our understanding of
hazard science through rigorous interdisciplinary research focused on
hazard resilience.” He identifies international collaboration; the use
of technology to support research education and outreach; and
diversification of center support, utilizing leveraging opportunities
fostered through new and expanded partnerships, as goals in Hazards
Management Science.
Pre-planning before a disaster can occur is vital. “Hazard identification will help us understand the risks that exist—their intensity and duration; while vulnerability assessment will tell us
what to expect.” Expected losses across differing hazard scenarios and
concomitant social vulnerability should also be taken into
consideration.
“Resources consist of more than money, it is also policy,” Dr. Smith’s contends. Thus, one is forced to ask difficult questions:
• Are you willing to change policies? Strong building codes may be in
place, but in crowded cities, the poor are most vulnerable as they
build their homes in risk-prone areas. Keeping in mind that the
underprivileged sector is fastest in terms of population growth, and in
light of the current Philippine controversy between the Catholic Church
and reproductive health advocates, is it ethical to withhold
“artificial,” albeit reliable, contraception from the poor so that more
of them live in highly hazardous zones?
• How do you craft good policy after a disaster? Public interest in
hazard mitigation strategies after a disaster is high, but people soon
forget and revert to the same risk-prone or destructive habits.
• What are your dimensions of capability? Do the fiscal, technical,
administrative, and political sectors work together, or do their actions
undermine each other’s efforts?
• How do you involve the private sector? Clearly, the business of
building hazard-resilient communities has numerous social, economic,
political, moral and ethical implications.
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